(Business in Cameroon) – Cameroon’s Crop Information System (SIF), which tracks real-time cocoa prices across Cameroon’s production regions, reported that the price per kilogram has fluctuated between CFA2,639 and CFA2,839 at Douala Port since late last week. In growing areas, producers report farmgate prices between CFA2,400 and CFA2,700.
More than two months after the official launch of the 2025–2026 cocoa season on August 7, producer prices remain well below the government’s projected range of CFA3,200 to CFA5,400 per kilogram. In addition to cautious buyer behavior—after prices peaked at CFA6,300 per kilogram during the 2023–2024 season—stakeholders attribute the decline to heavy rains affecting transportation routes.
The poor condition of rural roads due to intense rainfall has led buyers to apply price discounts, citing access difficulties to farming zones. However, international market dynamics are also weighing on prices. Commodity analysts expect a global cocoa surplus in the 2025–2026 season, extending the recovery trend that began in 2024–2025 after three years of deficits.
Data from fr.tradingeconomics.com project a production surplus of about 186,000 tons worldwide—up from 142,000 tons last season—driven mainly by increased output in Ecuador, which could overtake Ghana as the world’s second-largest producer.
Market experts warn that the expected surplus could further depress global prices, with some forecasts, including xtb.com, suggesting a possible stabilization at around $3,000 per ton in a downside scenario.
