(Business in Cameroon) – The central bank for Central Africa, the Bank of Central African States (BEAC), projects inflation in the CEMAC zone to slow to 2.6% in 2025. This forecast falls below the community’s convergence ceiling of 3%, a threshold that has been widely exceeded since 2022.
The new projection suggests inflation will ease by 1.5 percentage points year-on-year, compared with the 4.1% rate reached in 2024.
This latest outlook, issued by the BEAC’s Monetary Policy Committee (CPM) on September 29, 2025, is more optimistic than previous quarterly estimates. In the second quarter of 2025, the central bank had projected 2025 inflation at 2.8%, following a 3.2% forecast at the end of March 2025.
In its July 9, 2025, report “Évolution de l’inflation dans la Cemac à fin mars 2025 et perspectives à court et moyen termes,” detailing the short and medium-term inflation expectations, the BEAC attributed the improving outlook to several current factors. These include an expected strong agricultural season in Chad and Cameroon and the stabilization of fuel pump prices in several member countries.
Despite the regional improvement, the inflation situation remains varied among the six member states: Cameroon, Congo, Gabon, Equatorial Guinea, Chad, and the Central African Republic (CAR).
Cameroon, which accounts for 52% of the sub-region’s total consumption, shows a domestic inflation rate of 4.3%, significantly above the projected regional average. This price overheating makes Cameroon the primary contributor to overall CEMAC inflation, accounting for 65.3 contribution points, the central bank noted.
BRM
